This metric has a 100% success rate of forecasting future stock market returns when back-tested over more than 150 years.

There's a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one in five, in fact, based on the unusually wide spread between the Conference ...

The free-trade era is over. U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff letters show that tariffs - to protect domestic industries and to raise revenue for a deeply indebted government - are the way forward.

U.S. stocks fell Friday after President Trump said he would impose a 35% on some Canadian imports, spooking the markets. The ...